CQ's web blog on the issues in biostatistics and clinical trials.
Sunday, March 29, 2009
Jadad Scale to assess the quality of clinical trials
Jadad Scale sometimes known as Jadad scoring or the Oxford quality scoring system, is a procedure to independently assess the methodological quality of a clincal trial. It is the most widely used such assessment in the world.
The Jadad score was used as the 'gold standard' to assess the methodological quality of studies. This validated score lies in the range 0-5. Studies are scored according to the presence of three key methodological features of randomization, blinding and accountability of all patients, including withdrawals.
According to NIH website Appendix E: The Jadad Score
A Method for assessing the quality of controlled clinical trials
Basic Jadad Score is assessed based on the answer to the following 5 questions.
The maximum score is 5.
Question Yes No
1. Was the study described as random? 1 0
2. Was the randomization scheme described and appropriate? 1 0
3. Was the study described as double-blind? 1 0
4. Was the method of double blinding appropriate? (Were both the patient and the assessor appropriately blinded?) 1 0
5. Was there a description of dropouts and withdrawals? 1 0
Quality Assessment Based on Jadad Score
Range of Score Quality
0–2 Low
3–5 High
Wikipedia has a pretty good summary of the use of Jadad Scale.
Jadad Scale has been frequently used as a study selection criteria when the literature review or meta analysis are performed.
References:
1. Jadad AR, Moore RA, Carroll D, et al. Assessing the quality of reports of randomized clinical trials: Is blinding necessary? Control Clin Trials 1996;17:1-12.
Stratified randomization to achieve the balance of treatment assignment within each strata
For example, suppose that in a two-arm, parallel design study, we would like to stratify the randomization for age group (<18 versus >=18 years old). But we don't know how many subjects in each age group we could enroll. The purpose is to make sure that within each age group, there are equal numbers of subjects assigned to treatment A or treatment B.
After the study, there may be quite different total number of subjects in each age group, but within each age group, there should be approximately equal number of subjects in treatment A or treatment B.
The strata size usually vary (maybe there are relatively fewer young males and young females with the disease of interest). The objective of stratified randomization is to ensure balance of the treatment groups with respect to the various combinations of the prognostic variables. Simple randomization will not ensure that these groups are balanced within these strata so permuted blocks are used within each stratum are used to achieve balance.
When the stratified randomization is utilized, the # of stratification factors is typically limited to 1 or 2. The number of strata is exponentially increased if too many randomization factors are included. For example, if we have 4 stratification factors and each factor has two levels, then the # of strata = 2^4 = 16 strata, which is not practical.
If there are too many strata in relation to the target sample size, then some of the strata will be empty or sparse. This can be taken to the extreme such that each stratum consists of only one patient each, which in effect would yield a similar result as simple randomization. Keep the number of strata used to a minimum for good effect.
I have also seen a trial to require the equal number of subjects for each strata and with each strata, then equal number of subjects assigned to two treatment groups. In a trial to study the IBS (irritable bowel Syndrome), the protocol required the equal number of subjects in two type of IBSs (IBS-C vs. IBS-M). Within IBS-C or IBS-M group, there should be equal number of subjects assigned to treatment A or treatment B. The things turned out not nice because there were a lot of more subjects with IBS-C than IBS-M. During the study, while enrollment target for IBS-C was achieved, there was still a lot of IBS-M subjects to be enrolled.
IBS-C=Irritable Bowel Syndrome (constipation dominant)
IBS-M=Irritable Bowel Syndrome (mixed - constipation and diarrria)
Saturday, March 28, 2009
Too good to be true?
On the other side, if two studies show the results almost identical, it could raise the issue with regulatory reviewers for suspicious fraud. In the most recent ASA's biopharmaceutical report, two examples were discussed.
NDA 022145 Merck's Isentress
Nearly identical results were observed in the investigational treatment group in two pivotal phase III trials for the applicant’s primary efficacy endpoint.
As part of the data verification process, the statistical review team requested copies of original source documents (laboratory reports) for HIV RNA data from the four sites that were inspected, from the site with the largest number of patients and from an additional site that had highly statistically significant results in favor of the investigational drug.
Because the applicant used an IVRS, there were no fixed randomization lists available prior to enrollment of the patients in the trial and no treatment codes available in envelopes at the sites that DSI inspected. Therefore the statistical review team also requested that copies of original source documents for treatment randomization schedules be sent directly to the FDA from the external vendors. In addition, the statistical reviewer requested the applicant’s standard operating procedures for randomization schedule generation and certification from the external vendors that the randomization code documents were obtained from the original electronic file sent to the vendors from the applicant prior to study initiation. A sample of treatment codes and laboratory data were compared to corresponding values in the SAS data sets and appeared to match.
Of note, in this NDA, two pivotal studies were allowed to be combined. The final assessment is based on the integrated summary of efficacy (ISE). It appears that the dynamic randomization was used in these two studies even though there was no detail description about the randomizaton procedure (ie, dynamic allocation for baseline covariate or dynamic allocaton for response?)
GSK's Relenza (NDA021036)
Two phase III studies assessed post-exposure prophylaxis in household contacts of an index case of influenza. In the first household study, the index case was treated while the index case was untreated in the second study. The primary efficacy endpoint for the two phase III household prophylaxis studies was the proportion of households with at least one previously uninfected household member who contracted symptomatic, laboratory-confirmed influenza.
Nearly identical rates were observed for the primary efficacy endpoint in the two household studies. Such a high degree of coincidence is rare.
Of note, the biopharmaceutical report is a quarterly report by biopharmaceutical section under american statistical association. Unfortunately, the report was not updated on their website. I have to put the report under a temporary web location.
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Should expected clinical outcomes of the disease under study, which are efficacy endpoints, be reported as AEs/SAEs?
http://firstclinical.com/journal/2008/0806_GCP35.pdf
Some protocols instruct investigators to record and report all untoward events that occur
during a study as AEs/SAEs, which could include common symptoms of the disease under
study and/or other expected clinical outcomes. This approach enables frequency
comparisons of all events between treatment groups, but can make event recording in the
CRF burdensome, result in more expedited reports from investigators to sponsors, and fill
safety databases with many untoward events that most likely have no relationship to study
treatment and that could obscure signal identification.
In some clinical trials, disease symptoms and/or other expected clinical outcomes
associated with the disease under study, which might technically meet the ICH definition of
an AE or SAE, are collected and assessed as efficacy parameters rather than safety
parameters. An example might be severity scoring of prospectively defined disease
symptoms at each clinic visit during a rheumatoid arthritis study. The hypothesis underlying
this approach is that the study treatment will have a positive impact on disease symptoms.
If prospectively defined clinical outcomes, such as symptoms of a studied chronic disease or
death due to disease progression in an oncology trial, are to be assessed as efficacy
endpoints and not as AEs/SAEs, the methods for recording and analyzing these data should
be clearly described in the protocol. In addition, sponsors are advised to consult with
applicable regulatory authorities to ensure that safety reporting instructions in protocols are
acceptable, especially if certain clinical outcomes are to be excluded from traditional AE/SAE
reporting.
In high morbidity/mortality trials, independent data monitoring committees (IDMC)
generally monitor all acquired AE/SAE and clinical outcomes data to assess benefit and risk
on an ongoing basis. A reviewing IDMC could halt a trial if there was significant
improvement in pre-specified clinical outcomes in the treatment group compared to the
control group. It is also possible that a study treatment might unexpectedly worsen prespecific
disease symptoms and/or other clinical outcomes that are being assessed as
efficacy parameters.1
Reference
1. “Good Clinical Practice: A Question & Answer Reference Guide”, Barnett International,
2007, #9.10 p. 215
Source
“Good Clinical Practice: A Question & Answer Reference Guide 2007,” is available for $39.95
at http://www.barnettinternational.com/
Adverse events (AE), treatment emergent adverse events (TEAE), and adverse drug reaction (ADR)
Adverse event (AE) is any untoward medical occurrence including:
- undesirable signs & symptoms
- disease or accidents
- abnormal lab finding (leading to dose reduction/discontinuation/intervention)
Adverse events is typically collected after signing the informed consent form and could be related or unrelated to the study drug.
Adverse drug reaction (ADR) is defined as:
- For approved pharmaceutical product: a noxious and unintended response at doses normally used or tested in humans;
- for a new unregistered pharmaceutical product: a noxious and unintended response at any dose.
The difference between AE and ADR is that AE event does not imply causality, but for ADR, a causal rule is suspected.
Another confusion is about the term 'treatment-emergent adverse event (TEAE)'. A treatment-emergent adverse event is defined as any event not present prior to the initiation of the treatments or any event already present that worsens in either intensity or frequency following exposure to the treatments. Since the starting point for AE collection is the signing of the informed consent, not the start of the study treatment, there are some adverse events occurred prior to the initiation of the study treatment. These AEs may be called "baseline-emergent adverse event" which defined as any event which occurs or worsens during the staged screening process (after informed consent) including the randomization visit. It is common to have separate summaries for AEs occurred piror to the initiation of the treatment and AEs occurred after the initiation of the treatment (ie, summary of treatment emergent adverse events).
I was asked about a programming practice to define the TEAE used in some companies. For any AE with onset date/time after the first study drug administration date/time,they compare if there is a same AE with the same severity. If yes, AE is not counted as TEAE (even though the onset date/time is after the study drug administration). For example, a subject has a mild headache 30 days after using the study medication and subjects also has a mild headache event before using the study medication,the programming will identify this event as non treatment emergent. However I think this is wrong these are two distinct events and the second one should be counted as treatment emergent AE.
The TEAE is different from the drug-related adverse events. While the treatment emergent AEs refers to adverse events temporally related to the study treatment, the drug-related AEs refers to the causality assessment by the investigator.
Friday, March 06, 2009
What is the easiest way to start a meta analysis?
http://community.cochrane.org/tools/review-production-tools/revman-5
Read the instruction and tutorial about how to use this program. The algorithm used in this program is described in the attached file (following the weblink below).
http://community.cochrane.org/tools/review-production-tools/revman-5/resources
http://community.cochrane.org/sites/default/files/uploads/inline-files/RevMan_5.3_User_Guide.pdf
One of the authors Julian Higgins, is one of the speakers in last year’s Meta analysis workshop sponsored by SAMSI. His topic then is titled "Practical obstables in Meta Analysis".
Since I am a heavy SAS user, I also try to do meta analysis in SAS. The following references may be useful:
- The SAS book "Integrating Results through Meta-Analytic Review Using SAS Software"
- A book titled "Conducting Meta-Analysis Using SAS"
- Some Meta Analysis Stuff collected by David Wilson
Biosimilar, Follow-up Biologics, Biogenerics, and Generic Biologics
Unlike the more common "small-molecule" drugs, biologics generally exhibit high molecular complexity, and may be quite sensitive to manufacturing process changes. The follow-on manufacturer does not have access to the originator's molecular clone and original cell bank, nor to the exact fermentation and purification process. Finally, nearly undetectable differences in impurities and/or breakdown products are known to have serious health implications. This has created a concern that copies of biologics might perform differently than the original branded version of the drug. However, similar concerns also apply to any production changes by the maker of the original branded version. So new versions of biologics are not authorized in the US or the European Union through the simplified procedures allowed for small molecule generics.
While the term 'biosimilar' or 'follow-on biologics' are getting popular, other terms may also be used in one way or another. Other terms include 'biogenerics', 'generic biologics',...
The Obama administration supports the use and introduction of generic drugs into the market. In his new budget proposal, Obama calls for generic biotech drugs (see CNBC news or forbes news).
on November 21, 2008, FTC held a Roundtable on Follow-on Biologic Drugs: Framework For Competition and Continued Innovation. This workshop signals continuing interest in the issue. The trascript and the videos are available from the website.
Some other readings:
- Schellekens's paper titled "When biotech proteins go off-patent" (trend in biotechnology 2006)
- Amgen CEO assess the generic threat
- Two house members introduce bill to allow FDA to approve generic biotech drugs
- Future of biotechnology (foxbusiness.com)
Sunday, March 01, 2009
iDMC, iSTAT, iDM, and more
To support the iDMC who could review the interim data during the study, an independent statistical programming team is typically needed. Within the same organization (sponsor or CRO), there could be two teams: one is the study team and is always blinded to the study treatment (prior to the study unblinding) and one is the independent team that could have access to the randomization codes and prepare the unblinded interim information for iDMC.
Currently there are many different structures in arranging the iDMC operation with statistical support. The iSTAT could be with the sponsor, with CROs (contract research organization), or ARO (academic research organization). Each modol has its own pros and cons.
IS (independent statistician). See the talk about Pat O'meara
IDC (independent data center)
Saturday, February 28, 2009
Liability and Indemnification of data monitoring committee members
Trials 2004; 1: 525–531): In randomized clinical trials, a data monitoring committee (DMC) is often appointed to review interim data to determine whether there is early convincing evidence of intervention benefit, lack of benefit or harm to study participants. Because DMCs
bear serious responsibility for participant safety, their members may be legally liable
for their actions.
With increasing DMC monitoring in clinical trials, the liability and indemnification issues are the topic of the recent data monitoring committee conference. In the situation where a study was terminated based on DMC's suggestion, the study participants could file lawsuit on either the DMC members or the sponsor for not doing the diligent work to stop the trial or stop the trial sooner enough. For example, Pfizer was sued for its Torcetrapib trial even though Pfizer is cleared of any wrongdoing. Recent events (eg Cox-IIs, Vioxx) have raised the potential for litigation and DMC members have been gotten a subpoena. For protection, DMC charters for industry trials now often cover indemnification clauses.
However, there is no indemnification yet for government-sponsored trials. For example, in NCI's guidance, it is specified "The government is prohibited by statute from indemnifying any party without specific legislative authority and consultation with the United States Department of Justice. Government liability for its own actions is usually limited by the Federal Tort Claims Act."
So what is 'indemnification'?
According to Wikipedia, "An indemnity is a sum paid by A to B by way of compensation for a particular loss suffered by B. The indemnifying party (A) may or may not be responsible for the loss suffered by the indemnified party (B). Forms of indemnity include cash payments, repairs, replacement, and reinstatement."
In the United States, Indemnification is a legal document laying down the legal protection or exemption from liability for compensation or damages from a third party, investigator and/or hospital or institution from claims made by the study subject (or relatives) that harm
was caused to the subject as a result of participation in the clinical trial.
Friday, February 27, 2009
Confidence interval for correlation coefficient
The easy way to calculate the confidence interval for correlation coefficient is to use FISHER option in SAS procedure. FISHER option is available after SAS version 9. FISHER option specifies the Fisher's z transformation to estimate 95% confidence intervals for a correlation.
- Stan Brown has a nice description of the Fisher's z transformation
- SAS Provided an explanation for Applications of Fisher’s z Transformation
- A SUGI paper by David Shen provide the SAS codes
When we use the confidence interval to make a judgment about the procision, we need to be aware that this is largely related to the sample size used in the calculation of the correlation coefficient. The larger the sample size, the narrower the confidence interval.
Thursday, February 19, 2009
Most testing for US drug industry's late-stage human trials done outside the country, study indicates
According to the New York Times (2/19, B7, Singer), the study "raises questions about the ethics and the science of increasingly conducting studies outside the United States -- when the studies are meant to gather evidence for new drugs to gain approval in this country." The study conducted "by several Duke University researchers, suggests an ethical quagmire when drugs intended for wealthy nations are tested on people in developing countries." The researchers "suggest that human volunteers in foreign countries may be unduly influenced with the promise of financial compensation or free medical care to participate in clinical trials. The report, 'Ethical and Scientific Implications of the Globalization of Clinical Research,' also asks whether drug research conducted in developing countries is relevant to the treatment of American patients." Individuals of East Asian origin, for example, have a genetic variance that may reduce the effects of nitroglycerin treatment.
The researchers' "review of a US government clinical trials registry and of 300 published reports in major medical journals revealed this: A third (157 of 509) of Phase III trials -- typically the largest and most significant trial in the development of a drug -- led by major US pharmaceutical companies were being conducted entirely outside the United States," HealthDay (2/18, Gardner) reported. "In addition, half of the study sites (13,521 of 24,206) used in these trials were located overseas, with many in Eastern Europe and Asia."
On its website, CNN (2/19, Watkins) adds that the researchers "reported one study that found only 56 percent of 670 researchers surveyed in developing countries said their work had been reviewed by a local institutional review board or a health ministry. Another study reported that 18 percent of published trials carried out in China in 2004 adequately discussed informed consent for subjects considering participating in research."
Saturday, February 14, 2009
Evidence-based medicine - the Evidence Gap
Evidence-based medicine (EBM) aims to apply evidence gained from the scientific method to certain parts of medical practice. It seeks to assess the quality of evidence relevant to the risks and benefits of treatment (including lack of treatment). According to the Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine, "Evidence-based medicine is the conscientious, explicit and judicious use of current best evidence in making decisions about the care of individual patients."
The key for evidence-based medicine is the quality of evidence. Obviously the regulatory such as FDA applied very strict efficacy standard. According to a slide on FDA's website, FDA does not permit Sponsors To Promote Off-Label Uses because such behaviour
- Would diminish or eliminate incentive to study the use and obtain definitive data.
- Could result in harm to patients from unstudied uses that actually lead to bad results, or that are merely ineffective.
- Would diminish the use of evidence-based medicine.
- Could ultimately erode the efficacy standard.
However, there are also different voices.
Cronbach's alpha - reliability coefficient
To compute Cronbach's alpha for a set of variables, use the ALPHA option in PROC CORR as follows:
PROC CORR DATA=dataset ALPHA;
VAR item1-item10;
RUN;
SAS website provides an example about calculating the Cronbach's alpha.
Very often, 95% confidence interval may be required, the calculation is not straightforward, but there are SAS macros available from the SAS web site.
Some references about Cronbach's alpha can be found below:
- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cronbach
- http://support.sas.com/documentation/cdl/en/procstat/59629/HTML/default/procstat_corr_sect019.htm
- http://www.creative-wisdom.com/teaching/assessment/alpha.html
- http://www2.sas.com/proceedings/sugi26/p246-26.pdf
To assess the reliability of an instrument, the good reliability features include:
- Internal consistency = Cronbach's alpha >= 0.70 for new measures
- Stability = reliability coefficient >= 0.70
- Equivalence = Kappa statistic >= 0.61
In one of comments on FDA's guidance on PROM (patient reported outcome measures), Cronbach's alpha was cited to measure Internal Consistency and construct validity (with scale analysis) - Cronbach's alpha > 0.70
http://www.fda.gov/ohrms/dockets/dockets/06d0044/06d-0044-EC13-Attach-1.pdf
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Blood plasma and serum
Plasma is the liquid portion of the blood that is separated from the blood cells by centrifugation. One of the characteristics of plasma is that it clots easily which is important for hemophiliacs needing a transfusion but is a nuisance in most other applications. By agitating the plasma, one can precipitate the clotting factors as a large clot, and the leftover fluid is called serum. So, serum plus clotting factors is plasma, and clotted plasma yields serum (as an interesting aside, "serum" is Latin for whey, the liquid portion of clotted milk removed in making cheese).
The following course note describes the contents of the blood, plasma, and serum.
Thursday, February 05, 2009
DMC (Data Monitoring Committee) vs. DSMB (Data Safety Monitoring Board)
Some further discussions prior to FDA's issurance of DMC guidance are worth to read. These include:
- An internal discussion note.
- FDA internal assessment of annual report burden
- Notes from CBER open public meeting on DMC
- Comments on draft DMC guidance
- NIH policy on data and safety monitoring
- NIH policy on data and safety monitoring of Phase I and II trials
- NCI policy on data and safety monitoring
- NCI's essential elements on data and safety monitoring
- Template from NHLBI
- Template from NIA
- DMC policy from ECOG
- http://www.ctu.mrc.ac.uk/files/DMCcharter_general.pdf
- Template from Applied Clinical Trials
- Slutsky et al (2004) Data Safety and Monitoring Board. NEJM 350:1143-1147
- Freidlin, B., Korn, E. L. (2009). Monitoring for Lack of Benefit: A Critical Component of a Randomized Clinical Trial. JCO 27: 629-633
- Miller and Wendler (2008). Is it ethical to keep interim findings of randomised controlled trials confidential?. J. Med. Ethics 34: 198-201
- Borer et al (2008) When should data and safety monitoring committees share interim results in cardiovascular trials? JAMA Apr 9;299(14):1710-2
- Mueller et al (2007) Ethical Issues in Stopping Randomized Trials Early Because of Apparent Benefit. ANN INTERN MED 146: 878-881
- Goodman (2007) Stopping at Nothing? Some Dilemmas of Data Monitoring in Clinical Trials. ANN INTERN MED 146: 882-887
- Silverman (2007) Ethical Issues during the Conduct of Clinical Trials. Proc Am Thorac Soc 4: 180-184
- Chen-Mok et al (2006) Experiences and challenges in data monitoring for clinical trials within an international tropical disease research network. Clin Trials 3: 469-477
- Ellenberg, Fleming, Demets (2002) Data Monitoring Committees in clinical trials: a practical perspective
- Demets, Friedman, Furberg (2006) Data Monitoring in clinical trials: a case studies approach
- Moffett (2006) Statistical monitoring of clinical trials: a unified approach
EMEA guidance said "In case of a submission the working procedures of a DMC as well as all DMC reports (open and closed sessions) should form part of the submission."
The internal discussion notes said "A special circumstance is the case in which the sponsor wishes to use interim data in support of a regulatory submission, with the intent to continue the trial to its conclusion. Because of the risks to the trial’s credibility, analysis and use of interim data for this purpose is often ill advised. Exceptional circumstances may arise, however, in which such use could be appropriate. Before accessing and using interim data for this purpose, sponsors should confer with FDA and the DMC (or DMC chair) and consider all potential implications of such actions. "
According to FDA guidance "The agency recommends in the guidance that the DMC or the group preparing the interim reports to the DMC maintain all meeting records. This information should be submitted to FDA with the clinical study report (Sec. 314.50(d)(5)(ii) (21 CFR 314.50(d)(5)(ii)))."
Post-analysis DMC meeting: what are the pros and cons of having the DMC convene post-analyiss so they can make an assessment on complete and clean data?
The principal role of DMC is to ensure the safety of patients, which they do by analyzing adverse events and by performing interim analyses of the clinical outcome data. Due to the time constraints, the DMC analyses are typically based on the data that is incomplete or not totally cleaned. Analyses post DMC meeting are typically not needed unless there are serious issues with the data.
One interesting question is the role of the DMC after the study has been completed. My understanding is that the DMC plays the big role during the study. After the study has been completed, DMC would hand the responsibilities back to the sponsor and investigator since all subjects have been off the study. If there is any DMC meeting after the study completion, it is mainly for the courtesy or information purpose.
If DMC made the suggestion to stop the trial after reviewing the interim analysis data, after their suggestion, it is up to the sponsor and investigators (or steering committees or executive committees) to handle the rest (close out the study, disclose the study results, write manuscript,…). In this situation, no post-DMC meeting is needed. The final analyses will be performed by the sponsor or investigators. Investigators will publish the study results. Some examples are: Novartis ACCOMPLISH trial - stopped for efficacy; Pfizer’s ILLUMINATE trial - stopped for futility.
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
Standard Error of Mean vs. Standard Error of Measurement
I first saw this term in a literature discussing various approaches to identify the minimal clinically important difference (MCID). In an article by Copay et al, SEM (standard error of measurement) was quoted as one of the many approaches in evaluating the MCID. This method was also discussed in a paper by Wyrwich et al. Initially, I mistakenly thought that SEM was for standard error of mean. After further exploration, I realized that this SEM is quite different from that SEM.
The standard error of the mean (SEM) is the standard deviation of the sample mean estimate of a population mean. (It can also be viewed as the standard deviation of the error in the sample mean relative to the true mean, since the sample mean is an unbiased estimator.) SEM is usually estimated by the sample estimate of the population standard deviation (sample standard deviation) divided by the square root of the sample size (assuming statistical independence of the values in the sample).
The standard error of measurement (SEM) estimates how repeated measures of a person on the same instrument tend to be distributed around his or her "true" score. The true score is always an unknown because no measure can be constructed that provides a perfect reflection of the true score. SEM is directly related to the reliability of a test; that is, the larger the SEm, the lower the reliability of the test and the less precision there is in the measures taken and scores obtained. Since all measurement contains some error, it is highly unlikely that any test will yield the same scores for a given person each time they are retested.
Ar article by Dr. James Brown at University of Hawai'i at Manoa gave an good comparison of these two concepts. Also, an free paper by Harvill LM from East Tennessee State University explained in detail how the standard error of measurement is calculated.
Tuesday, January 20, 2009
Multiple Comparisons
Multiple comparison issues were nicely summarized in EMEA's guidance titled "Points to consider on multiplicity issues in clinical trials". This guidance also discussed the situations where the adjustment for multiplicity is not needed.
Adjustment for multiplicity is also mentioned in many regulatory guidance, for example, FDA guidance on ISE and its importance has been recognized in may medical journal review process.
SAMSI held a workshop in 2005 to discuss teh multiplicity issues which included the issue in Multiple Testing, Reproducibility, and Subgroup analysis.
For an introduction about multiple comparisons, refer to Wikipedia "http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiple_comparisons"
SAS Proc Multitest can be an easy tool to compute the adjusted p-values (with different methods) if the raw p-values from multiple tests are provided. For example, with the following program, we would be able to obtain a set of adjusted p-values.
data integrated;
input Method$ Raw_P;
datalines;
method1 .331
method2 .090
method3 .105
method4 .xxx
;
proc multtest pdata=integrated holm hoc fdr bon;
run;
Monday, January 19, 2009
Trial Biomarker Analysis More Than Data Dredging
The committee met last month go consider the adequacy of retrospectivly mined data in determining whether a biomarker is truly predictive of patient response. The discussion stemmed from a retrospective data analysis conducted to show that the KRAS biomarker status of patient tumors helps predict responses to Amgen's Vectibix (panitumumab) and ImClone and Bristol-Myers Squibb's Erbitux (cebuximab) cancer drugs.
See meeting transcribts here or the slides.
In other news, the US FDA encourage the integration of biomarkers in drug development and their appropriate use in clinical practice.
Data dredging vs. Data mining; Post-hoc vs. Ad-hoc
Data mining is the process of extracting hidden patterns from data. As more data is gathered, with the amount of data doubling every three years, data mining is becoming an increasingly important tool to transform this data into information. It is commonly used in a wide range of applications, such as marketing, fraud detection and scientific discovery. Data mining can be applied to data sets of any size. However, while it can be used to uncover hidden patterns in data that has been collected, obviously it can neither uncover patterns which are not already present in the data, nor can it uncover patterns in data that has not been collected.
Post-hoc:
In or of the form of an argument in which one event is asserted to be the cause of a later event simply by virtue of having happened earlier: coming to conclusions post hoc; post hoc reasoning.
[Latin, short for post hoc, ergō propter hoc, after this, therefore because of this : post, after + hoc, neuter of hic, this.]
AD-Hoc:
adv.
For the specific purpose, case, or situation at hand and for no other: a committee formed ad hoc to address the issue of salaries.adj.
Formed for or concerned with one specific purpose: an ad hoc compensation committee.
Improvised and often impromptu: “On an ad hoc basis, Congress has . . . placed . . . ceilings on military aid to specific countries” (New York Times).
[Latin : ad, to + hoc, neuter accusative of hic, this.]
While both post-hoc and ad-hoc analysis may be performed based on the data or results we have seen, the ad-hoc analysis typically occurred alongside the project while the post-hoc analysis occurred absolutely after the project or after the unblinding of the study or after the pre-specified analyses results have been reviewed. In this sense, the ad-hoc analysis is better than post-hoc analysis.
Sunday, January 11, 2009
EQ-5D
An EQ-5D health state (or profile) is a set of observations about a person defined by a descriptive system. An EQ-5D health state may be converted to a single summary index by applying a formula that essentially attaches weights to each of the levels in each dimension. This formula is based on the valuation of EQ-5D health states from general population samples.
EQ-5D was established and subsequently developed by the EuroQol Group, established in 1987. The aim of the group is to test the feasibility of jointly developing a standardized non-disease-specific instrument for describing and valuing health-related quality of life.
As a matter of fact, EQ-5D is becoming popular and one day may replace the SF-36 as the most popular generalized health-related quality-of-life instrument. The main advantage of EQ-5D may be:
- Preference-based and suitable for cost-utility analysis
- EQ-5D value sets can be easily converted to the QALY which is the denominator in cost-utility analysis.
- Less questions and easy to implement within short time
In one of my studies, SF-36 was performed as a quality-of-life measure. However, in order to perform the cost-utility analysis, these SF-36 scores have to be converted into something similar to EQ-5D - SF-6D . There is also other discussions about the mapping of SF-36 to EQ-5D. QualityMetric, the company for developing SF-36, is also providing the mapping for SF-6D.
However, the analysis of EQ-5D is not as easy as the questions presented in the instrument. According to a book titled "EQ-5D value sets: inventory, comparative review and user guide" (see UNC catalog), two terms seem to be important, but I may need to do a complete study using EQ-5D to figure out how to use these value sets.
- Time Trade-off (TTO) value sets
- Visual Analog Scale value sets